Advanced International Journal for Research
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Volume 7 Issue 4
July-August 2026
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Revisiting the Indus Waters Treaty: Legal Obligations and Climate Realities in the Twenty-First Century
| Author(s) | Dr. Dharmendra Kumar Singh |
|---|---|
| Country | India |
| Abstract | The Indus Waters Treaty of 1960 is a landmark agreement. It has survived wars and political crises between India and Pakistan. The Treaty divides the six rivers of the Indus system. It gives the eastern rivers to India and the western rivers to Pakistan. It also sets up a detailed dispute resolution mechanism. For over sixty years, this framework worked well. However, the Treaty was built on mid twentieth century science. At that time, experts believed river flows were stable and predictable. That assumption is no longer true. Climate change is altering the Indus Basin. Glaciers are melting faster. Monsoon rains are becoming erratic. Floods are more severe. Droughts last longer. These changes challenge the Treaty’s fixed rules. The Treaty does not mention climate adaptation. It has no periodic review clause. It does not protect environmental flows. Recent disputes over hydropower projects have exposed these weaknesses. In 2025, India suspended key parts of the Treaty. This showed how fragile cooperation can be. This paper examines whether the Treaty can handle these new pressures. It reviews the Treaty’s legal structure. It analyses climate projections for the basin. It draws lessons from the Nile and Mekong rivers. Those basins have developed joint climate strategies. The paper argues that the Treaty needs modernisation. This does not mean renegotiating its core terms. Instead, we should strengthen the Permanent Indus Commission. We should improve data sharing. We should add environmental flow rules. We should create crisis protocols. These steps would make the Treaty more resilient. They would protect the water security of over 300 million people. |
| Keywords | Indus Waters Treaty, Climate Change Adaptation, Transboundary Water Law, Permanent Indus Commission, Hydrological Variability, India Pakistan Relations, Water Security, Treaty Modernisation, International Watercourses |
| Field | Sociology |
| Published In | Volume 7, Issue 4, July-August 2026 |
| Published On | 2026-07-02 |
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E-ISSN 3048-7641
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AIJFR DOI prefix is
10.63363/aijfr
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