Advanced International Journal for Research

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Call for Paper Volume 7, Issue 5 (September-October 2026) Submit your research before last 3 days of October to publish your research paper in the issue of September-October.

Disentangling Fiscal Dependencies: Evidence from Uttar Pradesh and Bihar

Author(s) Shivani Kumari, Prof. Vinod Singh
Country India
Abstract This study examines the structural aspects of fiscal dependency of two states namely Uttar Pradesh and Bihar by analyzing the relationship between gross State Domestic Product and tax revenues which includes own tax revenue and share from center in tax devolution. The issue of subnational fiscal autonomy is crucial in the context of fiscal federalism, especially for governments with higher population and socio-economically challenged economies that mainly rely on intergovernmental transfers. In order to empirically examine the relationship among variables, the study uses Autoregressive Distributed lag Model (ARDL), which is well suited for time series analysis of mixed order of integration. The findings exhibit that both state’s GSDP is largely impacted by the share in the central tax than the own tax revenues. The impact of own tax revenue is negative while the share in the central tax is positive on the GSDP for both in long and short-term for both the states. The coefficient of co-integration equation highlights the disparity in the speed of convergence towards the long-run equilibrium. Bihar trails with 31% (speed of adjustment), perhaps as a result of smaller revenue bases and administrative difficulties, but Uttar Pradesh respond to economic shocks rather rapidly with 42% (speed of adjustment), indicating a more effective fiscal mechanism.
Keywords Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, GSDP, Tax Revenue, Share in Central Taxes, ARDL, Bound Testing, Fiscal Dependency
Field Mathematics > Economy / Commerce
Published In Volume 7, Issue 5, September-October 2026
Published On 2026-09-12

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